Scientific journal
Научное обозрение. Экономические науки
ISSN 2500-3410
ПИ №ФС77-57503

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METHODICAL ASPECTS OF PROGNOSTICATION OF DIVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZATION

Vorobeva S.A. 1
1 Ogarev Mordovia State University
Likenesses and differences of prognosis and plan are educed, authorial determination of concept «Prognostication of development of organization» is given, systematization of types of prognoses and methods of prognostication is carried out. The special attention is spared to the methods and features of prognostication of profits of organization: the levels of decision of this task(the world/is a country, industry, enterprise) and mathematical methods(linear trend, analytical formulas, method of chain percent correlations, correlation with macroeconomic indexes etc.) used here are set. The mechanism of the use of prognostication is reasonable in organizations of different type with a selection: basic elements of organizational structure(subject of prognostication, customer and consumer of prognosis); document, regulating the process of prognostication; procedural chart of prognostication(to the prognosis orientation, diagnosis, verification and adjustment of prognosis etc.).